Pandemic-Nuclear-Nexus Project
The Pandemic Nuclear Nexus Scenarios Project was an international collaboration aimed at exploring how the far reaching effects of pandemics could alter the landscape for nuclear risk and disarmament. The project was co-sponsored by the Research Center for Nuclear Weapons Abolition, Nagasaki University (RECNA), the Asia Pacific Leadership Network for Nuclear Non-proliferation and Disarmament (APLN), and Nautilus Institute, in cooperation with Nagasaki University Planetary Health and the Panel on Peace and Security of Northeast Asia (PSNA). The project's workshops were centered on scenario planning, a non-predictive means of examining a variety of possible futures to identify critical uncertainties and strategic opportunities. These led to the development of four distinct scenarios for the year 2030. These narratives are intended to highlight key questions about dynamics that could shape the “pandemic-nuclear nexus” over the next ten years.
The DPRK’s COVID-19 Outbreak and its Response
Professor Shin Young-jeon assesses how the DPRK was impacted by COVID-19, evaluates its response to the pandemic, and offers policy recommendations for the two Koreas and the international community.
Video Analysis - Pandemic Futures and Nuclear Weapons Risks
Workshop participants offer their views on scenario planning and why a project such as this is necessary today.
What is the Pandemic-Nuclear-Nexus Scenarios Project?
Using scenario planning to evaluate different futures and generate recommendations for governments, civil society and market actors to address existential risks. In collaboration with RECNA.
Report: Pandemic Futures and Nuclear Weapons Risks
Final report of the Pandemic-Nuclear-Nexus project with proposals to address nuclear threats through constituent engagement, technological solutions and regional approaches.
SPECIAL REPORT: Hope Becomes Law: The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons
Richard Tanter suggests that an extensive regional dialogue on the legitimacy and utility of nuclear weapons is needed to institutionalize and make effective the TPNW.
SPECIAL REPORT: US Planning for Pandemics and Large-Scale Nuclear War
Lynn Eden discusses the implications and differences in developing plans to prepare for, understand, prevent and mitigate infrequent disasters like pandemics and nuclear war.
Welcome Remarks by Eun-ha Kwon, APLN Deputy Director
The APLN leadership team calls on leaders and officials to better understand and deal with linked challenges in the nexus of nuclear weapons, pandemics and climate change risks.
Welcome Remarks by Professor Gareth Evans, APLN Chairman
Gareth Evans recommends adopting an analytical and prescriptive focus on tackling nuclear threats and learning from how pandemics and other global threats have been - or should be - addressed.
SPECIAL REPORT: Assessing the modernization of nuclear postures
Dr Petr Topychkanov examines recent decisions by nuclear-armed states to expand the role of nuclear weapons in their military plans.
SPECIAL REPORT: Nuclear Hotlines: Origins, Evolution, Applications
Steven Miller argues that there is great utility in ensuring nuclear rivals can communicate directly and effectively at the highest levels in all circumstances to minimize escalation.