The Limits of Pakistan's Defence Guarantee to Saudi Arabia
Weekly Newsletters

The Limits of Pakistan's Defence Guarantee to Saudi Arabia

 

 

14 October 2025

Dear << Test Title >> << Test Last Name >>,

This week, Haleema Saadia challenges prevailing narratives about the 2025 Pakistan-Saudi Arabia Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement (SMDA) and offers a nuanced assessment grounded in deterrence theory and international law. Joel Petersson Ivre explores the compatibility of South Korean and Swedish policy goals in Europe. 

As always, we highlight recent activities from our network, including analyses on arms control treaties, gender equality in national security, India’s role in a multipolar world, U.S.–China relations, and Vietnam’s approach to ASEAN.

Paper Promises: The Limits of Pakistan’s Defence Guarantee to Saudi Arabia

Haleema Saadia argues that the 2025 Pakistan–Saudi Arabia Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement is politically expedient but strategically hollow. She outlines Pakistan’s lack of capability, credibility, and aligned interests to provide a nuclear umbrella, and highlights the legal and nonproliferation constraints that would render any such guarantee controversial and potentially illegal. Ultimately, the pact serves short-term political ends without altering the regional nuclear or security order.

Read the commentary

Political and Diplomatic Implications of South Korean Defense Cooperation with NATO: The Case of Sweden

APLN Senior Policy Fellow Joel Petersson Ivre writes for the Institute for Security and Development Policy on NATO and Korea-Sweden cooperation, examining the compatibility of South Korean and Swedish policy goals in Europe and the Indo-Pacific. His analysis focuses on three dimensions: the conceptual misalignment between Swedish and South Korean security outlooks; South Korea’s more transactional approach to Europe compared to Sweden’s long-term commitment to the Korean Peninsula; and the potential impact of defence cooperation on engagement with North Korea.

Read the policy brief

APLN has over 170 members from 23 countries in the Asia-Pacific.
Each week we feature their latest contributions
to global and regional security debates.

See all member activities

 

 

 

<< Test First Name >>, as an APLN member, we want to feature your latest work in this newsletter and on our website. Email us at apln@apln.network to share your latest activities or if you have an idea for an original commentary or report.

 

Nuclear Arms Control in Crisis: Time for Asia–Pacific to Step Up

APLN Senior Associate Fellows John Carlson and John Tilemann co-wrote a policy brief for the Toda Peace Institute, which outlines the framework of agreements and arms control arrangements that have hitherto restrained the actions of nuclear powers, and suggests measures that could be taken to revitalise and expand nuclear arms control globally and regionally.

Women in defence and strategy still face an uphill battle

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan, Resident Senior Fellow at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), highlighted that achieving genuine gender equality in national security requires not only appointing women to leadership roles but also building an inclusive culture and increasing the visibility and recognition of women across all areas of the security field.

In a multi-polar West, India’s opportunity

C. Raja Mohan, Visiting Professor at the National University of Singapore’s Institute of South Asian Studies, wrote for The Indian Express and observed that Europe today is increasingly ill at ease with Donald Trump’s ‘America First’ nationalism, arguing that a more loosely knit West offers India opportunities to pursue multiple avenues of cooperation.

Dialogue of the Deaf w/ Tong Zhao

Tong Zhao, Senior Fellow at the Nuclear Policy Programme and the China Centre of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, was interviewed by The Monitor, where he discussed the sources behind the shifts in U.S.-China relations and their implications for the future.

From Defensive to Dynamic: Vietnam’s Thirty-Year Journey in ASEAN

Hoang Thi Ha, Senior Fellow and Co-coordinator of the Regional Strategic and Political Studies Programme at ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, co-wrote an article with Pham Thi Phuong Thao and examined how Vietnam’s approach to ASEAN has evolved in tandem with its national development, shifting security outlook, and institutional maturation over the past three decades.

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