Rethinking Regional Strategy Amid US Policy Disruption
Weekly Newsletters

Rethinking Regional Strategy Amid US Policy Disruption

 

 

11 April 2025

This week, Frank O’Donnell examines the deep contradictions in the Trump administration’s Asia policy and calls on the United States’ regional allies to prioritise greater self-reliance and multilateralism to ensure a peaceful and secure Asia-Pacific in the 21st century. Elina Noor urges Malaysia to adopt a people-oriented approach to designing, developing and deploying artificial intelligence (AI) during its year as ASEAN Chair.

As always, we highlight recent activities from our network, including analysis on India-US relations, India’s nuclear posture, humanitarian aid and disaster relief in the Global South, and securing the world against biological risks.

Managing Regional Security Amidst DC Disconnects

Frank O’Donnell analyses how economic disruption and internal dysfunction in Washington DC are undermining trust with allies, even as the United States seeks to reinforce its strategic presence in the region. Aggressive protectionist tariffs have eroded trust, fiscal capacity, and policy coherence, making US commitments appear increasingly unreliable. In response, Asia-Pacific allies and partners must prioritise self-reliance and multilateral cooperation that does not hinge on US leadership.

Read the Korea Times column

AI Competition in Southeast Asia: Can Malaysia’s ASEAN Chairmanship Make a Difference?

Elina Noor writes on how the US’ new AI diffusion framework reflects broader US-China tech rivalry and its implications for Southeast Asia, where most ASEAN countries fall into a grey zone of conditional access. She examines how ASEAN countries are navigating this shifting terrain through strategic investments, while also questioning whether current AI strategies are sustainable or equitable in the long run. She suggests that Malaysia should consider shepherding a people-centred, people-oriented approach to designing, developing and deploying AI during its chairmanship year.

Read the commentary

APLN has over 160 members from 22 countries in the Asia-Pacific.
Each week we feature their latest contributions
to global and regional security debates.

See all member activities

 

 

Reciprocal Tariffs Won’t Derail Broader India-US Ties

Shyam Saran, former Foreign Secretary of India, was interviewed by CNBC, where he commented that the imposition of reciprocal tariffs by the US is unlikely to fracture the wider strategic relationship between India and the US. While trade is a significant component, other crucial aspects of the partnership remain robust.

Better Know a Nuke: India 

Manpreet Sethi, APLN Acting Director, discussed the historical motivations behind India’s nuclear weapons programme, how India has interacted with its regional rivals over time, and the current concerns about nuclear risks within the South Asian security architecture, in a conversation with Alexander Bollfrass and Jayita Sarkar.

Void Left by US Aid Cuts Could Be Vital Test for China-India Detente

C Uday Bhaskar, Director of the Society for Policy Studies (SPS), New Delhi, wrote for the South China Morning Post, arguing that China and India must take preliminary steps to demonstrate to the Global South that they are not lacking in political acumen and wisdom, as American fecklessness paralyses the global strategic landscape.

Managing Global Biological Risks: Towards a Security-Health Coordination Framework

Mely Caballero-Anthony, Professor and Head of the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), co-wrote a commentary with Jose Ma. Luis Montesclaros and Jeselyn, emphasising that mitigating biological risks requires cooperation and a coordinated framework due to enforcement and information challenges.

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