October 2024 in Review at APLN
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October 2024 in Review at APLN

 

 

Dear Friends and Colleagues,

In October, the Japanese anti-nuclear group, Nihon Hidankyo, was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, in recognition of their efforts to campaign for a nuclear-free world. Even as it underscores the urgency of international efforts for peace and disarmament, conflict and war continue to surge worldwide. In Northeast Asia, North Korea has sent troops to support Russia’s war against Ukraine and threatened to use nuclear weapons in a potential conflict with South Korea and the United States. Meanwhile, tensions remain high in the Taiwan Strait with the latest round of live-fire drills conducted by China.

In light of these developments, our recent reports and events provide timely analyses. As part of our Asia Dialogue on China-US Relations project, we released a report by Kristy Tsun-Tzu Hsu, analysing how the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election and shifting public views on relations with China are likely to impact regional stability.

Another report, Regional End States and Beyond, explores diverse Asia-Pacific perspectives on the US-China relationship and the roles each is expected to play in the region. In a related column for The Korea TimesManpreet Sethi emphasised that the regional stability of the Asia-Pacific is closely tied to the state of US-China relations. We also held a webinar to discuss regional actors’ structural preferences, whether for US or Chinese primacy, or a multipolar order.

In coordination with the US State Department, this month we hosted an event featuring an APLN report by Ambassador Piper Campbell on the role of the US and ASEAN countries in promoting regional stability. We also convened an in-person workshop on regional perspectives on South Korea’s potential nuclear armament, supported by the East Asia Office of the Heinrich Böll Stiftung in Seoul.

Finally, we hosted three virtual roundtables as part of our Voices from Pacific Island Countries project, where experts gathered to discuss common security challenges and opportunities for enhanced collaboration between Asian and Pacific nations.

As always, I am grateful for any feedback or comments you may have. Thank you for your continued support for APLN.

Kind regards,

Shatabhisha Shetty
APLN Executive Director

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We are pleased to welcome three new members to our network:

  • Maima Koro (New Zealand), Pacific Research Fellow and academic co-lead of the Regional Perspectives Research Project, Adelaide University
  • Attorney Kazuko Ito (Japan), Tokyo-based human rights lawyer and Co-Representative of Japan NGO Network for Nuclear Weapon Abolition
  • Ambassador Mohan Pieris (Sri Lanka), Permanent Representative of Sri Lanka to the United Nations

See all members

APLN Chair’s Statement on the 2024 Nobel Peace Prize awarded to the Japan Confederation of A- and H-Bomb Sufferers Organizations (Nihon Hidankyo)

APLN Chair, Dr. Marty Natalegawa, congratulates the Nihon Hidankyo (Japan Confederation of A- and H-Bomb Sufferers Organizations) on being awarded the prestigious Nobel Peace Prize.

APLN salutes the extraordinary leadership of the Hibakusha in fighting for a world free of nuclear weapons, and will continue to strive to achieve a world in which nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction are contained, diminished, and eventually eliminated.

Read the statement

In Defence of the Status Quo: Stabilising Cross-Strait Relations under the Lai Ching-Te Administration

In this latest report from our Asia Dialogue on China-US Relations project, Kristy Tsun-Tzu Hsu explains how cross-strait relations expected to evolve under the Lai Ching-Te administration particularly in light of Taiwan’s changing political landscape following the 2024 presidential election.

She argues that maintaining the status quo in cross-strait relations and resuming dialogue as crucial for regional stability, especially given Taiwan’s public support for this approach and the low interest in independence. At the same time, she emphasises strengthening international efforts to deter Chinese aggression and ensuring Taiwan’s meaningful participation in international organizations to prevent further escalation of tensions.

Read the Special Report

What the Asia-Pacific Wants From the US-China Relationship

Manpreet Sethi explores how Asia-Pacific nations perceive the evolving US-China relationship and the roles they hope these powers will play in the region, highlighting diverse perspectives that range from support for US primacy to calls for a multipolar order. She argues that both the US and China should align their actions with their stated intentions, and that regional actors like ASEAN should better leverage their collective strength to ensure multipolarity.

Read the Korea Times column

Webinar: What do Asia-Pacific states want
from the China-US relationship?

 

On October 29th, we held a webinar examining how regional actors in the Asia-Pacific states view the long-term roles of China and the United States in the region. APLN Senior Research Adviser Manpreet Sethi and Policy Fellow Joel Petersson-Ivre discussed key findings and recommendations from their project report, with Zack Cooper, Melissa Conley-Tyler, and Yu Tiejun. The webinar was moderated by APLN Policy Fellow Tanvi Kulkarni.

Watch the recording

On October 24th, Ambassador Piper Campbell, author of the APLN project paper on US-ASEAN relations, held a fireside chat with US Deputy Assistant Secretary for Southeast Asia Andrew Herrup, drawing upon the arguments in her report. This in-person event was coordinated by APLN Senior Research Adviser Frank O’Donnell as part of the first US State Department public readout and Q&A on the recent 2024 ASEAN and East Asia Summits at the US-ASEAN Center in Washington DC. 

On October 21st, APLN organized a workshop on regional perspectives on South Korea’s potential nuclear armament, with the support of the East Asia Office of the Heinrich Böll Stiftung in Seoul. The workshop featured discussions on papers presented by participants from Mongolia, the Philippines, Indonesia, and Japan, focusing on how South Korean nuclear proliferation would impact the country’s international prestige and national interests. APLN network members Enkhsaikhan Jargalsaikhan, Akira Kawasaki, Sang Hyun Lee, Jun Bong-Geun, Eunjung Lim, APLN Associate Fellow Karla Mae Pabeliña, Policy Fellows Elaine Natalie and Joel Petersson Ivre participated in the workshop.

As part of our Voices from the Pacific Islands project, APLN hosted three virtual roundtables this month, each exploring critical security issues and collaboration opportunities between nations from the Pacific and Asia. The first session examined Asia-Pacific geopolitics and the dynamics of US-China competition. In the second, participants addressed the implications of rising nuclear risks and humanitarian crises. The final roundtable brought together voices to discuss current and emerging climate-related risks impacting the region.

War in Gaza: The Imperative to Strengthen the Tradition of Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons

24 October | Sadia Tasleem argues that nuclear weapons are ethically repugnant, militarily ineffective, and politically useless, citing Israel’s war in Gaza as a case where nuclear deterrence failed to prevent military conflict, while also warning that the normalisation of violence and disproportionate use of force could lead to a breakdown of the tradition of non-use of nuclear weapons.

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