January 2024 in Review at APLN
Weekly Newsletters

January 2024 in Review at APLN

 

 

Dear Friends and Colleagues,

APLN got a running start in the first month of 2024. In January, we welcomed Ambassador Febrian Ruddyard to our network – the first of what we hope will be many new additions to our senior network this year. We also saw many of our members at the APLN private briefing with UNODA Director and Deputy Mr. Adedeji Ebo, who shared his thoughts on how to encourage states to do more to support non-proliferation and disarmament.

January was a busy month for publications at APLN. The year began with a crucial presidential election in Taiwan, where the DPP secured an unprecedented third term in office. Brian Hioe, Russell Hsiao, and Chong Ja Ian weighed in on the significance of the election results and what to expect from Taiwan in the region. Huong Le Thu also touched on the Taiwan elections in her APLN Korea Times column contribution, where she wrote about the implications of the domestic politics of Asian countries in a record election year. In anticipation of further progress on the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal in 2024, Jim Green and Dimity Hawkins shared their thoughts on Australia’s troubled history in nuclear waste management.

January also saw great progress in the APLN-ELN joint project on Asia-Pacific Strategic Risks. Our new Special Report by Brendan Taylor tackles Australian defence policy and argues that overreliance on deterrence is exacerbating security dilemmas in the Asia-Pacific. Taylor’s report complements a policy brief we released this month by Tanya Ogilvie-White, Joel Petersson Ivre, Oliver Meier, and Rishi Paul, whose analysis of Australian, Japanese, and South Korean strategic choices concludes that countries must also provide assurances for their deterrence policies to be effective.

This month’s project activities also included a two-day conference in Seoul on “Balancing Deterrence with Assurances: Policy Coordination Between Security Partners in the Asia-Pacific.” The conference included senior experts and government officials from Australia, Japan, South Korea, and the UK, including several APLN members.

As always, we welcome feedback from our members and partners. If you have ideas for a potential publication, funding opportunity, or project, do get in touch.

Kind regards,

Shatabhisha Shetty
APLN Executive Director

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We are pleased to welcome our first new senior network member of 2024, Ambassador Febrian Alphyanto Ruddyard, Permanent Representative of Indonesia to the United Nations, the World Trade Organization, and other international organizations in Geneva.

Ambassador Ruddyard has previously served as the chair of the ASEAN Committee in Geneva (2023), Chair of the MIKTA Group (2023), President of the United Nations Conference on Disarmament (February 2024), and Chair of the Working Group on Situations of the United Nations Human Rights Council (2022), among others.

See all members

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s Response to APLN’s Australian Open Letter

In November 2023, fifteen Australian APLN members signed an open letter calling on Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to take the lead in addressing the rising nuclear threats in the Asia-Pacific.

In his response, the Prime Minister reaffirmed his support for nuclear non-proliferation efforts. He also said that his government is “exploring ways to take this work forward in the region, including in ASEAN-led forums, and would welcome APLN’s input.”

Read the Prime Minister’s response

Balancing Deterrence with Assurances: Policy Coordination Between Security Partners in the Asia-Pacific 

(Left to right: Nobuyasu Abe, Michiru Nishida, Cathy Moloney, Marianne Hanson, Tanya Ogilvie-White, Joel Petersson Ivre, Jun Bong-geun, Nobumasa Akiyama, Fang Liu, Yoonsoo Tyler Kim)

On January 30-31, we co-convened a two-day conference in Seoul on “Balancing Deterrence with Assurances: Policy Coordination Between Security Partners in the Asia-Pacific” with the European Leadership Network (ELN), sponsored by Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office of the UK. Senior experts and government officials from Australia, Japan, South Korea, and the UK exchanged views on how countries in the region can balance their focus on procurement of deterrence capabilities with initiatives intended to assure adversaries.

Learn more about this project

Private Briefing with United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)’s Director & Deputy Mr. Adedeji Ebo

On January 25, APLN hosted a private briefing with the United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)’s Director & Deputy Mr. Adedeji Ebo and Chief of the WMD Branch, Mr. Chris King. They urged states to acknowledge the inherent danger of nuclear weapons and unite in preventing their use, testing, and proliferation, emphasizing the collective interest in urgent and good faith efforts toward their eventual elimination.

“We need all States to reaffirm the fundamental truth that nuclear weapons pose an unacceptable danger to humanity, recognize that it is in our collective interests to prevent any use, any testing and any proliferation of these weapons and to act urgently and in good faith in efforts to bring about their eventual elimination.”

-Director and Deputy to the High Rep. Adedeji Ebo

Asia-Pacific Nuclear Nexus in 2024

4 January | Shatabhisha Shetty highlights the growing nuclear risks in 2024 amidst global geopolitical volatility, emphasizing the crucial role of organizations and middle-power countries in fostering inclusive collaborations and diverse perspectives to address these challenges.

What the Russia-DPRK Relationship Reflects About the West’s Security Strategy

18 January | Sayo Saruta offers her take on how the Russia-DPRK relationship is evolving and what it means for security in the Asia-Pacific, following another meeting between the two countries’ foreign ministers. 

The Path Forward: What Taiwan’s Elections Mean for the Asia-Pacific

19 January | Brian Hioe, Russell Hsiao, and Chong Ja Ian weigh in on what the elections mean for Taiwan’s future, how President-elect Lai envisions Taiwan’s role in the region, and what we can expect from China in the aftermath of the elections.

The Politics of Nuclear Waste Disposal: Lessons from Australia

23 January | Jim Green and Dimity Hawkins explore Australia’s long and complex engagement with nuclear waste issues.

Operationalising Strategic Risk Reduction in the Asia-Pacific: An Australian Perspective

24 January | Brendan Taylor challenges the prevailing recommendation among Australian strategic observers that bolstering deterrence strategies ought to be the primary means to forestall a major war in Asia.

In 2024, Asia’s domestic politics will decide its geopolitics

25 January | Huong Le Thu assesses the impact that the numerous elections taking place in the Asia-Pacific this year will have on its geopolitical landscape.

Balancing Deterrence with Assurances: Policy coordination between security partners in the Asia-Pacific

31 January | Joel Petersson Ivre, Tanya Ogilvie-White, Oliver Meier, and Rishi Paul argue that the strategic choices of Australia, Japan, and South Korea are heavily focused on strengthening deterrence against China and North Korea, which increases the risks of miscalculation. 

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