Tong Zhao, APLN board member and Senior Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, argues that China has been watching and learning from Russia’s implicit threat to use nuclear weapons in the Ukraine conflict. Zhao says China’s lessons from the war could lead to further ambiguity and uncertainty in China’s “no first use” nuclear weapons policy in potential conflicts, including one over Taiwan.
This brief is published under the “Reducing the Risk of Nuclear Weapons Use in Northeast Asia” (NU-NEA) project, a collaboration between APLN, the Research Center for Nuclear Weapons Abolition-Nagasaki University (RECNA), and the Nautilus Institute. |