Factors Driving Instability in the Asia-Pacific Maritime Domain
Weekly Newsletters

Factors Driving Instability in the Asia-Pacific Maritime Domain

 

 

8 December 2023

This week, we share the final report in a year-long APLN-VERTIC joint project on Maritime Incidents and Escalation in the Asia-Pacific. We also welcome Dr. Kevin Clements to the APLN network and spotlight an event on Umbrella States in the Asia-Pacific: Deterrence Perspectives.

As always, we highlight activities from our network, including analysis on nuclear non-proliferation policy in the Global South, why Australia should ratify the TPNW, and more.

Crisis Avoidance: Preventing Dangerous Maritime Incidents and Unintended Escalation in the Asia-Pacific

In this report, Tanvi KulkarniFrank O’DonnellShatabhisha Shetty, and Angela Woodward draw conclusions from the findings of a year-long APLN-VERTIC joint project on Maritime Incidents and Escalation in the Asia-Pacific. Based on regional dialogues and consultations with senior experts from across the Asia-Pacific, the authors conclude that six key factors contribute to the growing instability in the region’s maritime environment and make recommendations for how to strengthen crisis avoidance mechanisms. 

Read the report

Related publications

The APLN-VERTIC final report, Crisis Avoidance: Preventing Dangerous Maritime Incidents and Unintended Escalation in the Asia-Pacific, was referenced this week in a South China Morning Post article by Maria Siow. The article discussed how China would react if the Philippines were to go ahead with a “mini code-of-conduct” with other states active in the South China Sea.

Rebecca (Bec) Strating reviews and analyses incidents involving military and non-military vessels in the Pacific and Indian Oceans, as well as the South and East China Seas. Using news reports from 2010 until 2022, the report identifies 20 military-to-military incidents and 59 incidents involving non-military vessels.

Confidence and Security Building Measures in Southeast Asia’s Maritime Domain

Collin Koh discusses how confidence and security building measures, like codes of conduct, can help encourage good behaviour in the Southeast Asian maritime domain. He analyses the effectiveness of three major CSBMs in the region, one of them being the proposed Code of Conduct in the South China Sea. 

Kyoko Hatakeyama considers the increasingly tense Sino-Japanese relationship in the East China Sea and details how confidence building measures (CBMs) can lower the risk of large-scale military conflict and promote cooperation between the two Asian nations. 

APLN is pleased to welcome a new senior network member:

  • Dr. Kevin Clements (Aotearoa New Zealand), Director of the Toda Peace Institute.

Umbrella States in the Asia-Pacific: Deterrence Perspectives

On December 6th and 7th, the Stockholm International Peace Research institute (SIPRI) and Seoul National University (SNU) hosted a joint workshop on Umbrella States in the Asia-Pacific: Deterrence Perspectives. The workshop discussed how Asia-Pacific countries under extended nuclear deterrence arrangements, or ‘umbrella states’, can shape nuclear policy and practice.

APLN members and staff Chung-in Moon, Marianne Hanson, Cathy MoloneyMichiru Nishida, and Fang Liu gave presentations at the workshop.

APLN has over 150 members from 22 countries in the Asia-Pacific.
Each week we feature their latest contributions
to global and regional security debates.

See all member activities

*|IF:MEMBER=Yes|*

*|END:IF|*

*|IF:MEMBER=Yes|*

Nuclear Non-Proliferation and the Global South

Tanvi Kulkarni, APLN Policy Fellow, co-edited a special issue of The International Spectator on the topic ‘Nuclear Non-Proliferation and the Global South.‘ Kulkarni also co-authored an introduction article with Manuel Herrera and Vicente Garrido, Nuclear Non-Proliferation and the Global South: Understanding Divergences and Commonalities.

Upcoming Event: In Conversation With Malcolm Turnbull

On December 11, Helen Clark, former Prime Minister of New Zealand, will host a conversation with 29th Prime Minister of Australia, Malcolm Turnbull. The two will discuss a wide range of topics, including indigenous rights in Australia, climate policy obligations, and the future of the Australia-New Zealand relationship.

Economic Statecraft With American Characteristics

Van Jackson, Professor of International Relations at Victoria University of Wellington, co-wrote an article with Mark Beeson, pointing out that the United States keeps pitching Asia regional deals for economic arrangements that lack political viability domestically.

Indonesia Ratifies Nuclear Weapons Ban Treaty. Australia Should Too.

Marianne Hanson, Associate Professor of International Relations, Honorary Professor, University of Queensland and ICAN Australia Co-Chairargued that Indonesia’s ratification of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) highlights the need for Australia to follow suit and support the treaty.

For There to Be No Third War, We Need to Mitigate Crisis on Korean Peninsula

Cheong Wook-Sik, Director of the Hankyoreh Peace Institute and Director of the Peace Network, called for a creative resurrection of the six-party talks framework, in order to reduce tensions and break through the crisis on the Korean Peninsula.

NASA Chief in India: Big Fillip to India-US Space Agenda

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan, Director of the Centre for Security, Strategy, and Technology, wrote for the Diplomat about the NASA Chief’s visit to India, arguing that there seems to be a near-perfect alignment of the stars for collaboration between the Indian and U.S. space agencies.

Kishore Mahbubani on Kissinger’s Death

Kishore Mahbubani, former Singaporean Ambassador to the United Nations, spoke with Bloomberg about Henry Kissinger’s death and his contribution to policy in Asia. 

Was this newsletter forwarded to you?
Sign up here to receive weekly updates from APLN directly to your inbox.

Do you want direct updates on non-proliferation and disarmament issues
in the Asia-Pacific?

Before it’s in the newsletter, it’s on social media.
Follow APLN for direct updates in your favorite social media feed.

Facebook

Twitter

Instagram

YouTube

LinkedIn

Copyright © Asia-Pacific Leadership Network for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament.
All rights reserved.
4th fl., 116, Pirundae-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea, (03035)
Tel: +82-2-2135-2170
Email: apln@apln.network

Want to change how you receive these emails?
You can update your preferences or unsubscribe from this list.