Pandemic-Nuclear Nexus Scenarios Project
The APLN in collaboration with the Research Center for Nuclear Weapons Abolition, Nagasaki University (RECNA)and the Nautilus Institute are holding the Nagasaki 75th Anniversary Pandemic-Nuclear Nexus Scenarios online workshop. This event aims to identify opportunities for governments, civil society, and market actors to reduce nuclear risk and resume nuclear disarmament in Northeast Asia, with special attention to new strategies emerging from this unprecedented time in history.
Four workshops with forty cross-disciplinary group from diverse backgrounds, ages and nationalities from across the Asia-Pacific and North America will be convened to develop four possible visions of the future-between now and 2030-through scenario planning.
Scenario planning is a widely used methodology for imagining future conditions that are highly uncertain, and generating robust strategies for shaping the future. It is used to explore systematically the unknown forces of the future, design a finite set of future narratives, and then generate alternative strategies. The most successful scenario-planning exercises convene experts, thought leaders, and non-conventional thinkers to together create possibilities that could otherwise not be seen.
Participants will include those from Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Italy, Japan, Mongolia, Philippines, ROK, Russia, and the United States. The workshops will take place “under the Chatham House Rule” except for the opening session on Saturday 31 October, from 9am (Japan Time).
Ahead of the workshops, expert working papers will be produced and distributed to inform the discussions and scenario planning exercise.
*Expert Papers for Project
Paper 03: Nagasaki's Voice: 75 years' Experience
Paper 04: Pandemics
1st round: Saturday 31 October, 9:00-13:00; and Sunday 1 November, 9:30-13:00 [Japan Time]
2nd round: Saturday 14 November, 9:00-13:00; and Sunday 15 November, 9:30-13:00 [Japan Time]
1) Develop an analytical understanding of the interrelated nature of the co-occurring existential threats of nuclear weapons and global pandemics;
2) Explore potential levers and pathways to influence the future under various conditions; and
3) Identify concrete strategies to reduce the risk of nuclear war and resume nuclear disarmament to be considered by state and non-state actors.
The session will be livestreamed on Saturday 31 October from 9am (KST) on YouTube: https://youtu.be/qFrnkgrex0Q